graduate student from 01.01.2019 until now
Kemerovskiy gosuniversitet (Department of Regional and Sectoral Economics, teacher)
graduate student
Kemerovo, Kemerovo, Russian Federation
UDK 33 Экономика. Экономические науки
GRNTI 06.52 Экономическое развитие и рост. Прогнозир-ние и планирование экономики. Экономич. циклы и кризисы
OKSO 38.04.01 Экономика
BBK 65 Экономика. Экономические науки
TBK 772 Экономический анализ и планирование
BISAC BUS072000 Development / Sustainable Development
The research featured a macroeconomic assessment of the quality of economic growth. The analysis was based on various environmental factors, obtained in the process of strategic environmental assessment of the developmental priorities of the Kemerovo region in 2002–2020. The research objective was to determine the effect of environmental factors on eco-intensity and economic growth in this resource-based region in the context of global and national environmental challenges. The paper presents an overview of the methods of ecological and economic analysis suitable for strategic environmental assessment. The study featured mathematical methods of calculating the economic eco-intensity and the decoupling effect, as well as the model of economic growth developed by P. Victor. The decoupling effect was rather weak for the main types of negative impact, i.e. pollution, waste generation, disturbed lands, etc. The only green decoupling effect was revealed by the volume of contaminated wastewater. P. Victor's extended model showed the predominance of "brown" economic growth, while the increase in the carbon intensity of the gross domestic product for methane coincided with the significant decrease in the economic development of the region. The article also introduces a forecast of the economic development of the Kemerovo region, based on global and national trends of decarbonization. Transition to the use of the best available technologies should reduce the level of eco-intensity and increase the rate of decarbonization, both in the main industries and in methane processing.
strategic environmental assessment, ecological and economic analysis, eco-intensity, decoupling, P. Victor's model, carbon intensity, decarbonization, the best available technologies
1. Report on human development in the Russian Federation for 2016, eds. Bobylev S. N., Grigoriev L. M. Moscow: Analiticheskii tsentr pri Pravi-telstve Rossiiskoi Federatsii, 2016, 298. (In Russ.)
2. Langer M. E., Schön A. Evaluation of sustainable development. An integrated referential framework for sustainable development. WU Jahrestagung "Forschung für Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft": Proc. Conf., Vienna, 5-7 Nov 2002. Vienna: Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien, 2002, 55.
3. Klauer B., Bartkowski B., Manstetten R., Petersen T. Sustainability as a fair bequest: an evaluation challenge. Ecological Economics, 2017, 141: 136-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.06.001
4. Sun X., Liu X., Li F., Tao Y., Song Y. Comprehensive evaluation of different scale cities sustainable development for economy, society, and ecological infrastructure in China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2017, 163: 329-337. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2015.09.002
5. Ryumina E. V. Analysis of ecological and economic interactions. Moscow: Nauka, 2000, 158. (In Russ.)
6. Balatskii O. F., Belyshev D. V., Gurman V. I., Deissenberg Kh., Konstantinov G. N., Kulbaka N. E., Ryumina E. V., Toksanbaeva M. S. Model-ing of socio-ecological and economic system of the region, eds. Gurman V. I., Ryumina E. V. Moscow: Nauka, 2001, 175. (In Russ.)
7. Gurman V. I. The extension principle in the problems of sustainable development. Moscow: Fizmatlit, 2005, 128.
8. Gurman V. I. Modeling socio-ecological-economic systems in the region. Vestnik Sibirskoi akademii prava, ekonomiki i upravleniia, 2011, (2): 4-7. (In Russ.)
9. Victor P. A. The Kenneth E. Boulding Memorial Award 2014: ecological economics: a personal journey. Ecological Economics, 2015, 109: 93-100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.11.009
10. Glazyrina I. P. A thorny path to green economy. ECO, 2020, 50(9): 8-23. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.30680/eco0131-7652-2020-9-8-23
11. Victor P. A. Growth, degrowth and climate change: a scenario analysis. Ecological Economics, 2012, 84: 206-212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2011.04.013
12. Shang Y., Si Y., Zeng G. Black or green? Economic growth patterns in China under low carbon economy targets. Journal of Resources and Ecology, 2015, 6(5): 310-317. https://doi.org/10.5814/j.issn.1674-764x.2015.05.004
13. Glazyrina I. P., Faleichik L. M., Yakovleva K. A. Socioeconomic effectiveness and "green" growth of regional forest use. Geography and Natural Resources, 2015, (4): 17-25. (In Russ.)
14. Zabelina I. A. Ecological and economic development aspects of the border regions of Siberia and Far East: prospects for movement in the "green" economy. The Eastward vector of Russia: the chance for a "green" economy in natural resource regions: Proc. Sci. Seminar, Lake Baikal, Maloe More, 27 Jul - 1 Aug, 2015. Irkutsk: Izd-vo Instituta geografii im. V. B. Sochavy SO RAN, 2016, 231-240. (In Russ.)
15. Tikhonova T. V. Environmental assessment of economic growth in the Northern region. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Fore-cast, 2018, 11(3): 162-178. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.15838/ esc.2018.3.57.11
16. Tretyakova E. A. Environmental intensity of economic growth in the Baltic Sea Region. Balt. Reg., 2019, 11(1): 14-28. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.5922/2079-8555-2019-1-2
17. Shkiperova G. T., Kurilo A. E. Assessment of the North-West regions development in the concept of green economy context. Market economy problems, 2019, (3): 5-13. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.33051/2500-2325-2019-3-05-13
18. Tereshina M. V., Degtyareva I. N. "Green growth" and structural progress in regional economy: theoretical and methodological analysis. Theory and Practice of Social Development, 2012, (5): 246-248. (In Russ.)
19. Yashalova N. N. Analysis of the decoupling effect in ecological and economic activity of a region. Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, 2014, (39): 54-61. (In Russ.)
20. Samarina V. P. Decoupling effect in economic development of the Murmansk region. Sever i rynok: formirovanie ekonomicheskogo poryadka, 2014, (2): 24-30. (In Russ.)
21. Akulov A. O. Decoupling effect in the industrial region (the case of the Kemerovo Oblast). Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 2013, (4): 177-185. (In Russ.)
22. Arsakhanova Z. A., Khazhmuradov Z. D., Khazhmuradova S. D. Decapling in the economy - essence, definition and types. Obshchestvo, ekonomika, upravlenie, 2019, 4(4): 13-18. (In Russ.)
23. Green economy and sustainable development goals for Russia, eds. Bobylev S. N., Kiriushin P. A., Kudriavtseva O. V. Moscow: Ekonomicheskii fakultet MGU imeni M. V. Lomonosova, 2019, 284. (In Russ.)
24. Zabelina I. A., Delyuga A. V. Trends of ecological and economic development of the Far East regions and Sub-Federal Units of the Baikal region under conditions of institutional change. ECO, 2019, (5): 66-88. (In Russ.)
25. Mekush G. E., Panov A. A. Kuzbass economy and carbon control tools. Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences, 2021, 14(7): 1039-1046. https://doi.org/10.17516/1997-1370-0783